Meesh’s Weekly Pens Thoughts: Week 7

A week without a back-to-back sequence, what a concept! The Pens had a brief look at a “light” schedule last week, but they’ll have back-to-backs in the next two weeks before the schedule finally slows down for them.

So what did we learn during a “light” week? The offense still isn’t trustworthy, the penalty kill is a mess, and I’m still not really sure how good or bad the Penguins are right now (this is really putting pressure on my “judge them at Thanksgiving” attitude).

Penalty Kill

The penalty kill started the season as one of the better units in the league (holding Chicago, Nashville, and Washington to 0/15) and most of the praise focused on how aggressive and quick the PK approach looked. When the powerplay flourished, it was noted that opposing PK units weren’t nearly as aggressive as the Penguins, cementing our theories that Pittsburgh’s quick and aggressive style was the key to killing penalties successfully.

So what happened?

The most recent quotes have focused on a “lack of urgency” and an issue with “battle level” coming off of the 2-1 loss to Chicago.

Is it that simple though? Try harder = better penalty kill?

The Pens have allowed 8 powerplay goals in their last 5 games, so here’s a quick summary:

1st Capitals PP goaldeflection off of Kuhnhackl’s stick on a shot from the point
2nd Capitals PP goaldeflection by Oshie on a shot from the point
1st Predators PP goal – one-timer by Subban from the point off of a faceoff
2nd Predators PP goal – quick shot from the slot by Smith after a wide slap shot from the point caroms off of the back boards right into the slot
1st Sabres PP goal – quick shot from the edge of the crease by Reinhart after a wide slap shot from the point caroms off of the back boards right to the crease
2nd Sabres PP goal – backhander by Pouliot in front of the net on a broken play after Sheahan turned the puck over below the goal line
1st Blackhawks PP goal – wrist shot by Forsling from the left circle off of a faceoff (note: weak five-hole goal)
2nd Blackhawks PP goal – Anisimov reaches for a puck that was shot wide of the net, pulls it above the goal line, and shoves it past Murray trying to dive across

So that’s 2 goals off of deflections, 2 goals off of faceoff losses, 3 goals off of wide shots that bounced to advantageous areas for the powerplay, and 1 goal off of a bad turnover with bad coverage.

(Also note that 3 of those 4 teams are the same 3 teams that the Penguins PK looked so great against early in the season – Chicago, Nashville, Washington)

You can argue that the PK needs to do a better job of tying up sticks and maintaining body position around the net, but I do wonder if this is just a rough stretch of bounces that evens itself out over the course of the season. There were parts of each sequence that *could* have been played better, but the Sheahan turnover was the only blatant misplay to me.

Rather than focusing on working harder on the PK, I think the bigger issue is that the Penguins have been shorthanded at least 5 times in 3 of the 4 games in which they allowed 2 powerplay goals against. Keep giving an opponent chances on the powerplay, and they eventually will find a fortuitous bounce or two (a little more on this coming below).

Method of Scoring

While we’re talking about how goals are scored, let’s talk about how the Penguins have earned their goals lately. There has been plenty of discussion about the lack of goals and the lack of Sid production (if you want more, check out Ryan Wilson’s article after the Chicago game).

When I say Sidney Crosby is having a really bad year, I mean he is having a really bad year. He’s at 1.12 points per 60 at even-strength.

Brutal!

For reference Ryan Reaves is at 1.17. That is also terrible, but c’mon Sid. Even Bobby Farnham had a 1.24 points per 60 the year he split between Pittsburgh and New Jersey. Penguins legend Nick Spaling was at 1.33.

Anyways, I’ll set aside the Crosby talk and instead stick to how the Penguins are scoring goals.

Chicago game: Hunwick, deflected by Duncan Keith.
Ottawa game: Hornqvist deflection of a Maatta shot, Guentzel deflection of a Dumoulin shot, Sheahan into an empty net.
(Note: no Penguin has actually shot a puck past a goalie since the Buffalo game)
Buffalo game: Hornqvist banks the puck in off of O’Reilly, Sheary slides the puck in from Hornqvist on a 2-on-0 rush, Crosby on the PP knocks a rebound in from the crease, Kessel one-timer from the bottom of the left circle, and Sheary one-timer from just above the goal line on a pass from behind the net.

This is purely observational and I have no norm to compare it to, but it’s surprising to me that there hasn’t been a goal involving a Penguin just beating a goalie by himself in the past week. I don’t necessarily have a solid point to make off of this section – just an unexpected observation as I started working through the goals.

Crosby/Letang Check-In

Last week, I mentioned that Crosby and Letang seem to be having communication issues in the defensive zone and their improvement might be tied to each other…

Welp.

There was some improvement for both though. Crosby ended his goal drought and recorded 3 points over the week (1g, 2a).

Letang had some better moments, but also a plethora of ugly ones, which drew Chicago’s announcers into saying “Not too sure what Kris Letang was thinking” after a terrible shot choice on a powerplay.

Tying Letang into the PK discussion from above – Letang has been in the penalty box for 6 penalty kill situations in the last 5 games. The opponent has scored during 3 of those situations. Perhaps the actual solution for the penalty kill is to not have Kris Letang in the box, both to keep the Penguins from being shorthanded and to keep their most talented defenseman on the ice for necessary penalty kills.

Other Notes

Mike Sullivan seemed to find a hidden gem when he put Hornqvist, Sheahan, and Sheary together for the start of the week, but Sheahan and Crosby traded wingers during the Chicago game, so who knows if that’ll become a go-to third line or not. It was certainly the best third line that we’ve seen this season:

(PS – Jesse Marshall wrote more about them on The Athletic if you want a deeper look.)

With all of the Fleury/Murray talk from the past couple of seasons and Pittsburgh’s “slow” start to this season, I often forget that this is a thing:

I guess he’s okay on the road too:

In other goalie news, Antti Niemi played last night for his 3rd NHL team this season (and allowed a goal for his 3rd NHL team this season).

The Metro division is just as crazy as you always expect it to be…

And finally, the Penguins aren’t done with outdoor games quite yet…

That’s all for this week, thanks for reading!!

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